Thursday, May 16, 2013

Flash Extent Density and Updraft Strength

Playing a bit with the SPoRT flash initiation density product and the evolution of an updraft. Although it’s not a serious storm, it represents the ongoing pulsating activity very well which could eventually gain strength when entering a more unstable air mass to the east. Below you can find the ‘Flash initiation density product’ at 2035Z and 2040Z, showing a marginal increase in lightning activity. Reflectivity at the same time showed a core with 35-40 dBz and only a few isolated lightning strikes occurred.

051613 2035 UTC PGLM Flash Extent Density
051613 2040 UTC PGLM Flash Extent Density
051613 2055 UTC Reflectivty
At 2055Z, the storm finally strengthened in reflectivity fields (the core peaked at near 60 dBz) . Although that was just a temporal strengthening trend of that storm it is great to see the lead time you get with that lightning product before the updraft eventually strengthens. 

Helge

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