Forecast models are pointing toward the Davis Mountains region for convective initiation. The latest OUN WRF is again early with convective initiation east of Fort Davis around 20z.
Wednesday, June 13, 2012
MAF – Waiting for Storm Initiation near Alpine
Forecaster comments from the EWP blog...
Forecast models are pointing toward the Davis Mountains region for convective initiation. The latest OUN WRF is again early with convective initiation east of Fort Davis around 20z.
HRRR model shows the same location but just a bit later, between 20 and 21z.
Visible satellite image at 1930z shows quite a bit of mid-level
clouds but there was an isolated higher strength of signal for
convective initiation south of Alpine. Higher moisture was located just
east of the Davis Mountains with lower to mid 60s dewpoint temperatures
west of the Pecos River.
Forecast models are pointing toward the Davis Mountains region for convective initiation. The latest OUN WRF is again early with convective initiation east of Fort Davis around 20z.
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