Forecaster comments from EWP blog...
Issued our second EXPERIMENTAL Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Persidio County.
Storm is showing strongest Cloud Top Cooling rates observed at 2202 UTC today around
-37C/15 min. This cell is over northern Mexico way out towards the
edge of the KMAF NexRad coverage…with 40 dBZ echo at 35 thousand feet.
We will see how this one pans out as it get closer in on the radar
coverage as it moves towards the Davis Mts. Here is the corresponding CI
imagery 15 minutes earlier at 2145 UTC…
Update… KMAF Echo Top shows storm west of the Rio Grande has increased to
54 kft at 2220z. This gave around 30 minute lead time before increase.
Update… storm over Mexico northwest of Candelaria intensified to over 64
dBZ at 2311z. The strong CTC signature gave a lead time of a little over
an hour for this intense storm.




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