Forecaster comments from EWP blog...
First warned storm of the day at MAF over Reeves/Pecos county line. This
is on a psuedo-dryline where temps are in the 90s and dewpoints in the
50s with strong ESEly flow. MRMS showed this storm well with 62dBZ at
-20C and 1.5 inch MESH.
The CIMMS CTC product also showed significant cooling with this storm as
it was developing. The 2215 UTC image overlaid with sfc obs and Vis
satellite shows the boundary as well as the significant cloud top
cooling (around -28C/15 minutes).
Also noticed a little earlier at 2115 UTC that Ft Stockton/Pecos co
airport had 98F/56F with a 11017G24kt wind. The Pecos Municipal airport
(KPEQ) had 100F/53F with a 08009kt wind. The CTC was just ramping up at
that time with -8C/15min.
This storm is moving very little as new updrafts from on the western
flank, but winds aloft are fairly weak this far south. If this storm
persists for more than an hour, localized flash flooding could be a big
issue.




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