GID Waiting for the First Storms… A Few Early Indicators

Forecaster comments from EWP blog...

Quiet on the southwestern front at this hour…but we are starting to see a few echoes along the boundary.  Latest OUNWRF wants to gen up a few storms along the boundary in the next hour or two…but then really gens up quite a bit of convection with a fairly large cold pool generating towards the 5 PM hour.

Not many signals being noted in the CTC or the CI products at this time, but we did get a CI 72 indication with a small tower going up on the boundary on the previous pass…will see if anything comes of it. Looking to the southwest upstream in the environmental flow, we note a few Cu towers going up at a faster rate and thinking this activity could move up into our area in the next 3 hours.  See no reason why it won’t get going to the southwest given available instability.

NRE theta-e products showing a fairly unstable airmass over the area…and with near full insolation on the Cu field southeast of the boundary we expect initiation in the next 2 hours across the forecast area…