BOU: OUN-WRF / Synthetic Satellite on Storm Initiation

Forecaster comments from EWP blog...

The above two images predict storm initiation at 19z. The top image is a 4-panel of WRF-derived synthetic satellite products and the bottom image is a single panel OUNwrf 1km agl reflectivity from roughly the same time. Both products show rapid thunderstorm initiation around 19-1930z. Given recent vis satellite imagery, this appears too early. Only time will tell…