A forecaster covering the OAX CWA was able to place an experimental severe thunderstorm warning based on the trends recognized in the UAH-CI and UW-CTC products. This great example shows how the UAH-CI and UW-CTC products can work collectively to create strong forecaster confidence in a severe weather situation.
The initial recognition of severe potential took place at 2302 UTC when the UAH-CI product showed a strength of signal of 80 out of 100 (see Fig. 1).
 |
| Fig. 1 |
The next scan at 2315 UTC had the UW-CTC product exhibiting a strong cooling rate of ~-25K/15 min. This information combined with what the forecasters have learned/noticed about our product in other situations prompted the forecaster to issue the warning with high confidence that the growing convective element would eventually become severe. See Fig. 2 for the UW-CTC cooling rate along with the warning polygon created.
 |
| Fig. 2 |
No comments:
Post a Comment