EFP CI and Severe desks

EFP CI (left) and severe (right) desks during the morning forecast period.

This year's Experimental Forecast Program (EFP) contains two main focus areas... convective initiation (CI) and severe. Both desks are using experimental high-resolution numerical models and ensembles of those numerical models (CAPS ensemble, SSEO, AFWA) to forecast the first occurrence of a 35 dBZ radar echo (CI) and the subsequent severe weather. They will be examining some of the simulated satellite imagery and unique GOES-R band differences during their forecast operations that we provide them from the NSSL-WRF 0Z 4km model, as well as from some of the members of the CAPS ensemble.