SATCAST CI detected underneath cold core low

Oklahoma was under the gun yesterday, but is under a completely different convective regime today. As the cold core low continues to shift eastward, clear morning skies have created an area of convective instability that has led to convective shower development.

SATCAST has been developed to try and diagnose convection of all types, not necessarily areas of severe weather. SATCAST forecasted CI in northern Oklahoma at 1832 UTC (upper panel of top image). 38 minutes later at 1910 UTC, radar reflectivity exceeded 35 dBZ at -10 C (bottom left panel of bottom image). No severe weather will come of this activity, yet it provides forecasters with the ability to let the public know via short term forecasts that convective showers are developing, and changes to outdoor plans may need to be changed.