SATCAST_v2 CI Nowcast at 1815 UTC, 05/19/2010.... Still a long way to go in terms of success and development, but we'll take the small gains when they come. Here, we have an example of SATCAST_v2 forecast (produced from the 1815 UTC GOES-13 imagery) getting a few hits on some cells going up along the dryline near the OK/TX-panhandle border on a very important "High Risk" day. The lead time before CI (>= 35 dBZ radar echo) is about an hour or a little less for this case. Of course, there were a few growing boundary layer clouds that were flagged in some other locations and at some other times that didn't actually CI, but it was at least picking up on lower level cloud growth. As I said.. still a long way to go.. but off to a great start!
Radar at 1813 UTC (above)
Radar at 1859 UTC (above)
Radar at 1916 UTC (above)
Radar at 2001 UTC (above)
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