Thursday, May 12, 2016

Final Thoughts 5/12/16 HUN

Final thoughts on the day. Today was a huge success for the PGLM. Looking at flash densities for storms in the Huntsville area was highly beneficial. I liked that the output was not tied to the cells and also I preferred the smoothing on the product. As I was not really interrogating it like I would radar data, smoothing was preferred and I could see easily exporting this to an emergency manager or social media post.

Atmospheric vectors did a great job of showing the structure of the pre-frontal trough in the vertical.

1 minute data was vital in tracking the speed of the prefrontal trough, outflow boundaries and the front itself as the afternoon evolved. As always, tracking overshooting tops was beneficial to the warning process and also to monitor storms as they were decaying as well.

NUCAPS did well with the soundings and was also impressed by the theta-e cross section presented across the frontal boundary. While some observational data still needed to be modified, I could see this data being highly useful in the office. 

ProbSevere was understandably lower today in this environment but qualitatively the worst cells  had the highest probsevere ratings. As a forecaster, this was still a useful product to have today.

CI didn't have a chance to present itself today as convection had already initiated before the session began. - Jason Bourne

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