In light of rapid development of convection in MN, we decided to shorten the debrief in order to start operations as soon as possible. We will include more in depth feedback in tomorrow's thorough weekly debrief. Our forecasting teams will begin the day localized over Minneapolis, Sioux Falls and Hastings, and will likely shift around throughout the day. Stay tuned!
SATCAST / UW Cloud-top Cooling
- "The left-most storm in Dallas was captured well by the cloud-top cooling... it got to -21 C / 15 mins and 30 minutes later it had severe hail."
- "We had that one storm that developed over Mexico and it had -37 C / 15 mins and it gave a lead time of over an hour and really kept going after that... that really demonstrated the utility of those products... we couldn't use radar over there and we basically had to go with the cooling rate."
- "In Sioux Falls, the CTC on the splitting supercell gave an hour to hour and 15 minute lead time... that is a product that could be very useful in the field."
- "In ABQ we had the opposite, the terrain really kept firing stuff that showed up on the CTC but nothing became of it."
- "We got a signal of about -12.5 C / 15 mins and that gave us about a 15-20 minute lead time... otherwise, most of them under -16 C / 15 mins gave us false alarms, but anything greater than that was good."
Simulated Satellite
- "It did a very good job of timing the convection and location in NM... then we switched up to Sioux Falls and the timing was good as well, but the location was off by about 120 miles... Even if you only know the timing is good, you can tell people that you're confident something is going to happen and that's huge."
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